Robert Reich: The Big Picture: How We Got Into This Mess, And How We Get Out Of It – OpEd

Donald Trump isn’t the cause of what ails America. He’s the consequence. The real causes go back four decades. 

Let me start with a bit of family history. During the 1950s and 1960s, my father, Ed Reich, owned a shop on the main street from which he sold women’s clothing to the wives of factory workers.

This time of year reminds me of his anxious dependence on holiday sales (and in the days after Christmas, the frantic returns). Between Thanksgiving and Christmas, he needed to earn enough to pay the bills and have a sufficient sum to carry us through the first part of the following year.

We weren’t rich but never felt poor, and our standard of living rose steadily through the 1950s and 1960s — as factory workers and their spouses did better and better.

This was an era when the income of a single factory worker or schoolteacher or baker or salesman or mechanic was enough to buy a home, have two cars, and raise a family.

FOR THREE DECADES after World War II, America created the largest middle class the world had ever seen. During those years, the earnings of the typical American worker doubled, just as the size of the American economy doubled.Over the last 40 years, by contrast, the size of the economy has more than doubled again, but the earnings of the typical American have barely budged (adjusted for inflation). Most of the gains have gone to the top. 

In the 1950s and 1960s, the CEOs of large corporations earned an average of about 20 times the pay of their typical worker. Now they rake in over 300 times the pay of an average worker.

In the 1950s and 1960s, the richest 1 percent of Americans took home about 10 percent of the nation’s total income. Today they take home more than the bottom 90 percent put together.

Then, the economy generated hope. Hard work paid off. The living standards of most people improved through their working lives. Their children enjoyed better lives than they had. Most felt that the rules of the economic game were basically fair.

Although many women, Black people, and Latinos were still blocked from getting a fair share of the economy’s gains, the nation committed itself to changing this. New laws guaranteed equal opportunity, barred discrimination, promoted affirmative action, and expanded educational opportunity for all.

Today, confidence in the economic system has sharply declined. Its apparent arbitrariness and unfairness have undermined the public’s faith in it. Cynicism abounds. Equal opportunity is no longer high on the nation’s agenda.

As you’ll see in “The Big Picture” video on this page, recent American history can be divided into five periods:

  1. 1946-1979, we grew together. Almost everyone gained ground.
  2. 1980-2008, the great U-turn. Most economic gains began going to the top.
  3. 2008-2010, the financial crisis. The banks were bailed out but millions of Americans lost their jobs, homes, and savings. The experience revealed the gross inequalities of wealth and power that underlay the new economy. This caused widespread disillusionment with the system.
  4. 2010-2016, anger at the establishment. Both Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump emerged as anti-establishment candidates — although Trump’s anti-establishment persona was fake (and still is). 
  5. 2016-2050, the choice between oligarchy and democracy. The 2024 election represented a lurch toward oligarchy, but I believe Trump and his oligarchy will overreach, and we’ll choose a more robust democracy. 

***

WHEN MOST PEOPLE STOP BELIEVING that they and their children have a fair chance to make it, the tacit social contract begins to unravel. And a nation becomes susceptible to demagogues such as Donald Trump peddling the politics of hate. 

Many of the most vocal proponents of the “free market” — including Elon Musk, executives of large corporations and their ubiquitous lawyers and lobbyists, denizens of Wall Street and their political lackeys, and numerous multimillionaires and billionaires — have been actively reorganizing the market for their own benefit.

The consequence has been a market created by those with great wealth for the purpose of further increasing their wealth.

This has resulted in ever-larger upward distributions inside the market, from the middle class, working class, and poor to a wealthy minority at the top. 

Because these distributions occur inside the market, they have largely escaped notice. We tend to debate only downward “redistributions” that occur outside the market, through taxing the rich and transferring some benefits to the poor and working class. 

Musk and Trump want to reduce such redistributions. 

But the hidden upward redistributions inside the market are arguably larger.

This is why it’s so important that those of us who care about social justice speak out and explain what has happened. And why it’s crucial that Democrats focus on reversing the staggering inequalities of this era and getting big money out of politics. 

Otherwise, the only explanation most Americans receive for what has happened comes from Trump authoritarians who falsely blame immigrants, “socialists,” the “deep state,” “woke”ism, Democrats, Black people, women, and other countries. 

And the only agenda most Americans receive for remedying what has occurred is by backing Trump and Musk and their lurch toward fascism. 

My friends, the underlying issue is not the size of government. It’s whom the government is for. The fundamental choice is democracy or oligarchy.

Trump, Putin, and the Threat to Democracy

By Robert Reich

We’ve learned from a forthcoming book by journalist Bob Woodward that in 2020, while he was president, Trump secretly shipped Covid-19 testing equipment to Russian president Vladimir Putin for his own personal use at a time when Americans could not get it.

The author of The Art of the Deal did not demand in return that Putin forego attacking Ukraine or release Paul Whelan and Trevor Reed, two Americans being held by Russia at the time and later released under the Biden administration. 

The Trump campaign denies this story, but on Wednesday the Kremlin confirmed it. 

Woodward also reported that Trump and Putin have had “as many as seven” personal conversations since Trump left office in 2021.

Let’s be clear about the implications of all this: If Trump wins the election, he’ll likely do whatever Putin wants, including allowing Putin to take much, if not all, of Ukraine.

Trump has repeatedly avoided criticizing Putin, even going so far as to praise him as a “genius” and “very savvy” for his unprovoked invasion. At the same time, Trump has been critical of the Biden administration’s aid to Ukraine in the wake of Russia’s invasion.

During the presidential debate against Vice President Kamala Harris last month, Trump refused to say he wanted to see Ukraine win the war against Russia.

Earlier this year, Trump suggested he’d encourage Russia to do “whatever the hell they want” if a NATO ally wasn’t paying their fair share to the alliance.

I used to believe seven things about the 21st century that Putin’s invasion of Ukraine and Trump’s presidency and current neck-and-neck race with Kamala Harris have shown me to be false. I assumed:

1. Nationalism is disappearing. I was wrong. 

I expected globalization would blur borders, create economic interdependence among nations and regions, and extend a modern consumer and artistic culture worldwide.

But both Putin and Trump have exploited xenophobic nationalism to build their power. (Putin’s aggression has also ignited an inspiring patriotism in Ukraine.)

2. Nations can no longer control what their citizens know. I was wrong. 

I assumed that emerging digital technologies, including the internet, would make it impossible to control worldwide flows of information and knowledge. Tyrants could no longer keep their people in the dark or hoodwink them with propaganda.

But Trump and Putin have filled the media with lies. Putin has also cut off Russian citizens from the truth about what’s occurring in Ukraine. Putin filled American social media with lies in favor of Trump and against his opponent in the 2016 election and apparently is doing so again.

3. Advanced nations will no longer war over geographic territory. I was only partly right. 

I thought that in the “new economy,” land was becoming less valuable than technological knowhow and innovation. Competition among nations would therefore be over the development of cutting-edge inventions.

I was only partly right. While skills and innovation are critical, land still provides access to critical raw materials and buffers against potential foreign aggressors.

4. Major nuclear powers will never risk war against each other because of the certainty of “mutually assured destruction.” I was wrong. 

I bought the conventional wisdom that nuclear war was unthinkable.

I fear I was wrong. Putin is now resorting to dangerous nuclear brinksmanship in Ukraine. 

5. Civilization will never again be held hostage by crazy isolated “strongmen” with the power to wreak havoc. Wrong. 

I assumed this was a phenomenon of the 20th century and that 21st century governments, even totalitarian ones, would constrain tyrants.

Trump and Putin have convinced me I was mistaken.

6. Advances in warfare, such as cyber-warfare and precision weapons, will minimize civilian casualties. I was wrong. 

I was persuaded by specialists in defense strategy that it no longer made sense for sophisticated powers to target civilians.

Utterly wrong. Civilian casualties in Ukraine are huge. Meanwhile, since October 7, 2023, Benjamin Netanyahu has created a bloodbath in Gaza as well — another arena where xenophobia and a “strongman” unconstrained by democratic norms have wrought havoc. 

7. Democracy is inevitable. I was wrong about this, too. 

I formed this belief in the late 1990s, after the Soviet Union had imploded and China was still poor. It seemed to me that totalitarian regimes didn’t stand a chance in the new technologically driven, globalized world. Sure, petty dictatorships would remain in some retrograde regions of the world. But modernity came with democracy, and democracy with modernity.

Both Trump and Putin have shown how wrong I was on this, too.

Meanwhile, Ukrainians have demonstrated that Trump’s and Putin’s efforts to turn back the clock on the 21st century can be addressed only with a democracy powerful enough to counteract autocrats like them.

They have also displayed with inspiring clarity that democracy cannot be taken for granted. Democracy is not a spectator sport. It’s not what governments do. Democracy is what people do.

The resistance to Putin in Ukraine should remind us that democracy survives only if people are willing to sacrifice for it. 

Some sacrifices are smaller than others. You may have to stand in line for hours to vote, as did tens of thousands of Black people in America’s 2020 and 2022 elections. You may have to march and protest and even risk your life so others may vote, as did iconic civil rights leaders like the late John Lewis and Martin Luther King Jr. 

You may have to knock on hundreds of doors to get out the vote. Or organize thousands to make your voices heard. And stand up against the powerful who don’t want your voices heard.

You may have to fight a war to protect democracy from those who would destroy it.

The people of Ukraine have also reminded us that democracy is the single most important legacy we have been bequeathed by previous generations who strengthened it and risked their lives to preserve it. It will be the most significant legacy we leave to future generations — unless we allow it to be destroyed. 

Putin and Trump have convinced me I was wrong about how far we had come in the 21st century. Technology, globalization, and modern systems of governance haven’t altered the ways of tyranny. 

In a few weeks, we will see how much the people of the United States value democracy — for ourselves, for Ukrainians, and for others around the world.

LOVE for a DEMOCRATIC SYSTEM

“Democracy is the worst form of government – except for all the others that have been tried.” Winston Churchill

There is a certain love of democracy world wide. As a person who has spent a great deal of time traveling and living overseas I have seen the love and respect many have for a democratic government and a free press.

On a recent trip to my house in Italy I had time to talk to locals. When they find out I am American they usually ask me about cities and life in America. This time many wanted to talk about the upcoming American election and how it works. Honestly, explaining the US electoral college is pretty tough.

The other night I was out and ran into some friends on the street. They introduced me to their friend and of course the usual subjects came up.
– I have a cousin in Boston, do you know him?
– Did you go to your prom? Is it like movies?
– How many cars do you own?
– How can Trump be so popular?

The last question really threw me. As of this morning Trump was polling nationally at 47%. BUT still has about 50/50 chance of winning the election.

The cult that the modern GOP has become is truly frightening. In Europe the scars of the Second World War are still visible. They regret falling for a dictator. Someone who put his own needs ahead of those he was elected by.

We all want a strong leader to stand up for our country. That leader though needs to have the strength of character.

How do you judge or know someone’s character? Ask someone who worked closely with them in the past. The list of people from Trump’s previous administration who are either openly supporting Kamala Harris or NOT supporting Trump is astounding.

U.S. vice president

Cabinet-level officials

White House officials

Other executive branch officials

I understand if someone cannot bring themself to vote for Kamala Harris or a Democrat. I get that. But when the people who know him best are saying NO WAY ARE THEY GOING TO VOTE FOR HIM you should probably listen.

The ‘Sunk Cost Fallacy’ Explains Donald Trump’s Loyal Voters

The more we learn about the human brain and cognitive bias, it’s easy to understand why sunken cost fallacy impacts so many areas of life. In layman’s terms, sunken cost fallacy is human tendency to continue with an investment endeavor even after the costs outweigh the ultimate benefits of our effort.

In other words, when someone mentally approaches a point of no return, they ignore negative feelings and internally decide, “I’ve gone down this path for so long, that I may as well stay on it.”

Obstacles and setbacks that would dissuade outside observers with no vested interest from continuing, but those signs aren’t as strong or as clear to investors with a sunken cost fallacy mindset. In the realm of politics, a case could be made that sunken cost fallacy persists among Trumps most devout supporters, which prevents any alternative Republican candidates from tying or surpassing Trump in his second campaign for a second term.

Consider a similar leader and group: Rev. Jim Jones and the members of his church, the People’s Temple. They were willing to stick with Jones in the middle of an isolated jungle because they had already uprooted from their roots in the United States and emigrated to Guyana to develop ‘Jonestown’, a commune where Jones ruled with a fascist’s iron fist.

Both Trump and Jones capitalized on the mindset of supporters by asserting that they were the only man capable of rescuing their followers from peril and leading them to a promised land.

Jones told the People’s Temple, “I’m a savior. The only savior in the whole damned country.”

Donald Trump told the Republican National Committee: “I am your voice, said Trump. I alone can fix it. I will restore law and order.”

Jordan Vilchez, is a former member of Peoples Temple, wrote that Donald Trump’s behavior as “all too familiar”, and described the similarities betweenTrump’s final days in office, and Jone’s final days in Jonestown.

“As I observed everything that happened between election day and the eve of the insurrection, I was transported back to my own first-hand experience of witnessing what happened with another man when the world closed in on him, was on a swift slide towards losing his power,” Vilchez said. “He could not be bailed out for his transgressions, nor pay anyone to cover up his behavior, nor escape the carnage of his own socio-pathological behavior. Like Donald Trump, this man was willing to take everyone down with him. Although we in the Temple espoused principles of freedom, human dignity, and social justice — the basic tenets of our nation — the followers displayed a well-meaning façade, even as we saw those ideals succumb to the whims of our leader. We came to believe that what he said and did, signified the means to achieve those ideals….Worst of all, we became inured to it all. And in the end, did not Trump’s lies about election fraud become a thing of normalcy rather than an aberration? Shouldn’t we have considered that an intolerable assault on the trust of the people of our nation?”

Project 2025, if allowed, will cement America as a rightwing authoritarian state

Protesters enter the Senate Chamber on January 06, 2021 in Washington, DC. Congress held a joint session today to ratify President-elect Joe Biden’s 306-232 Electoral College win over President Donald Trump. Pro-Trump protesters have entered the U.S. Capitol building after mass demonstrations in the nation’s capital. | Win McNamee/Getty Images

BARRINGTON SALMON.

 In 1970, as political activist Angela Davis languished in a jail cell for a crime she didn’t commit, acclaimed writer and civil rights activist James Baldwin warned her and us in an open letter “… If we know, then we must fight for your life as though it were our own – which it is – and render impassable with our bodies the corridor to the gas chamber. For, if they take you in the morning, they will be coming for us that night.”

In 2023, women of childbearing age, young adults, children, African Americans, undocumented immigrants and other marginalized communities have the most to lose if Donald Trump wins a second term because he’s coming for us.

Trump — aided and abetted by far-right extremists, MAGA supporters and the remnants of the Republican Party — poses a clear and present danger to the country. They are gearing up to reassert racial and political dominance by upending the political system, eviscerating the rule of law and wielding unconstrained power in service of the interests of the far-right conservative and Christian nationalist minority.

The instrument they plan to use to implement this strategy is Project 2025. In a nutshell, as Harold Meyerson explained in a recent article, Project 2025 is a blueprint for a conservative presidency.

“The actions of liberal politicians in Washington have created a desperate need and unique opportunity for conservatives to start undoing the damage the Left has wrought and build a better country for all Americans in 2025,” the Project 2025 manifesto said. “It is not enough for conservatives to win elections. If we are going to rescue the country from the grip of the radical Left, we need both a governing agenda and the right people in place, ready to carry this agenda out on day one of the next conservative administration.”

 Former U.S. President Donald Trump delivers remarks during the Georgia state GOP convention at the Columbus Convention and Trade Center on June 10, 2023 in Columbus, Georgia. On Friday, former President Trump was indicted by a federal grand jury on 37 felony counts in Special Counsel Jack Smith’s classified documents probe. | Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images

A vast and secretive dark money network

Project 2025 is a sweeping rightwing blueprint for the next Republican president, Trump or not, to run the country for the foreseeable future. Funded by The Heritage Foundation, Koch Brothers and a vast and secretive dark money network, the project has recruited at least 80 far-right organizations and entities to the cause.

Conservative warriors’ plan “to defund the Department of Justice, dismantle the FBI, break up the Department of Homeland Security and eliminate the Departments of Education and Commerce,” the 30-chapter, 920-page tome says.

The president would have “complete power over quasi-independent agencies such as the FCC, which makes and enforces rules for television and internet companies that have been the bane of Trump’s political existence in the last few years. And they want to ensure that what remains of this slashed-down bureaucracy is reliably MAGA conservative — not just for the next president but for a long time to come — and that the White House maintains total control of it.”

Project 2025 offers proposals to deregulate targeted industries, privatize government functions and help American corporations to make more money at the expense of American workers, the middle class and everyone except the oligarchs and the 1%.

Meyerson, editor-at-large at The American Prospect, said far-right conservatives and The Heritage Foundation have an extensive enemies’ list that includes “welfare recipients, lazy and liberal civil servants, anti-business regulators, environmentalists, and union bosses, “scientists, woke bureaucrats, woke educators, woke diplomats, woke generals and admirals, woke G-men, and anyone who doesn’t indulge the next Republican president’s every whim (an adaptation to the likelihood of a Trump nomination),” in the commentary titled, “The Far Right Has a Plan to Remake America. They Even Wrote It Down.”

Those in charge in the incoming administration are prepared to purge those deemed disloyal after identifying and interviewing “every Treasury Department official who participated in its DEI (diversity, equity, and inclusion) activities and programs, and make such activity ‘“per se grounds for termination of employment.”’

Leonard Leo, a major right-wing donor who significantly influenced and shaped the U.S. Supreme Court’s conservative supermajority under Trump, has been a major fundraiser for Project 2025. (On Nov. 30, the U.S. Senate Committee on the Judiciary voted to subpoena Leo “as part of an ethics probe into undisclosed financial ties to U.S. Supreme Court justices.”)

According to a press release from the nonprofit Accountable.US, recent reporting from NBC shows that “The Heritage Foundation, a conservative think tank, stepped up efforts to boost its Project 2025 initiative by ramping up grants to the venture aimed at creating a ‘government-in-waiting’ for the next Republican presidential administration, according to a new tax filing.

“The foundation distributed over $1.67 million in grants in 2022 — including a total of $965,000 to organizations on the advisory board of Project 2025, tax records show. These donations accounted for 58% of Heritage’s total grant-making in 2022.

“Project 2025’s board of more than 80 conservative organizations includes nearly 40 that have received funding from dark-money groups linked to Leonard Leo … a prolific fundraiser, Leo is affiliated with an extensive network of tax-exempt groups, including DonorsTrust, a donor-advised nonprofit that directs money to other organizations and groups seeking to influence policy.”

Vacillating on a knife’s edge

America is at an inflection point, vacillating on a knife’s edge because of Trump, who has tapped into a deep reservoir of grievance, hatred and resentment plans that will be fully unleashed in a second term. Trump’s incendiary rhetoric – mirroring Hitler and Mussolini – is convincing observers that he’s a fascist, to add to his authoritarian bent.

In interviews, rallies and on social media Trump has boasted of unleashing political violence, targeting and crushing his enemies, routing the media, appointing a special prosecutor to pursue President Joe Biden and his family for alleged corruption, and snatching up undocumented immigrants and holding them against their will in vast concentration camps before deporting them.

In addition, a number of critics charge, during “Trump’s Revenge Tour,” he and his allies are determined to establish a rightwing, authoritarian, theocratic, white nationalist government.

Writing recently on Truth Social, Trump said:“Republicans are already thinking about what we are going to do to Biden and the Communists when it’s our turn.”

He elaborated further.

“We pledge to you that we will root out the communists, Marxists, fascists and the radical left thugs that live like vermin within the confines of our country that lie and steal and cheat on elections,” Trump said in a recent speech. “They’ll do anything, whether legally or illegally, to destroy America and to destroy the American Dream … the threat from outside forces is far less sinister, dangerous and grave than the threat from within. Our threat is from within …”

This anti-democratic, illiberal move to upend the U.S Constitution and government should be cause for deep concern. I am not alone in fearing that if Trump gets back to the White House, there may not be a free and fair American election again in my lifetime.

Astonishingly, a year before the 2024 contest, Trump is running away with the presidential nomination despite being impeached, indicted four times and charged with 91 felonies in state and federal courts. He leads the pack even though his former officials warn the electorate not to vote for him and despite being called “morally bankrupt and lethally incompetent” by a former Trump White House official.

Author and legal analyst James Zirin, said in an op-ed in The Hill on Nov 13 Trump wants to “terminate the Constitution to restore himself to power, an insurrectionary act in and of itself. That power would be “in the hands of the president with neither checks nor balances.”

 The pro-Trump insurrection at the U.S. Capitol, Jan. 6, 2021 | Alex Kent

Trump has vowed on Day 1 to invoke the Insurrection Act to deploy the military to violently crush any protest or dissent. He plans to purge the Justice Department of anyone deemed disloyal and deploy across four federal agencies a 50,000-strong bloc of loyalists to defense, legal, judicial and regulatory slots.

Political consultant and media strategist Rick Wilson expressed alarm at the Trump-induced danger that looms.

“He’s using the power of government, the state, to punish his political enemies, use the power of the state to achieve his personal political vengeance on people who he believes have wronged him,” said Wilson, a former Republican, co-founder and board member of The Lincoln Project, who lives in Tallahassee. This is not America, this is something much darker, much different, much more dangerous.”

Alex Aronson, executive director of Court Accountability, a nonpartisan judicial research and advocacy organization, said Americans should be working assiduously and in concert to confront, disrupt and obliterate this insidious plot.

“Project 2025 is a plan to destroy the U.S government,” said Aronson. “It’s an enormous problem, a huge problem that the U.S government isn’t standing up to this moment. It’s complicated and speaks to some tensions on the Left.”

Aronson said no one should assume that the Republican Party is an honest operator, explaining that the party and its allies are willing to use violence and extremism to reach its ends.

And like James Baldwin, he said Americans are fighting for their very lives.

“The impulse is to work with these people and misconceive the nature of their project which is a blueprint to destroy the U.S government. We have to see this threat for what it is,” Aronson said.

A Few Questions For Trump Supporters.

Some Questions on 2 important Dates for Trump Supporters. 

FILE PHOTO: U.S. President Donald Trump gestures as he speaks during a rally to contest the certification of the 2020 U.S. presidential election results by the U.S. Congress, in Washington, U.S, January 6, 2021. REUTERS/Jim Bourg/File Photo

On January 6, 2021, at the urging of then president Donald Trump, a mob stormed our nations  Capital.  They were looking for revenge for what they had been told was a stolen election. They were chanting the names of Nancy Pelosi and Vice President Mike Pence. Loudly chanting, “HANG MIKE PENCE”. They broke into many offices as Democrats and Republican alike ran for their lives.  If not for the bravery of Capital police surely some lawmaker would have been killed or injured.  

QUESTION 1-  What would have happened if the rioters had gotten their hands on Nancy Pelosi, Mike Pence or another lawmaker?  Would they have carried out their threats? Would the torture or death of a lawmaker been shown all around the world on CNN? 

QUESTION 2- What would have happened on January 7 if the insurrection had been successful?  Would Trump have rounded up his enemies? What would have happened to President Elect Joe Biden? Trump could not have let him stay free making speeches. 2020 was a free and fair election and Joe Biden won. In order for Trump to stay in power he would at least have to have Biden placed under house arrest where he would be unable to speak to the media.  

QUESTION 3- If the insurrection was successful, what would happen to anyone who spoke out against it and against Trump and his supporters? Would they have been rounded up? Arrested? Jailed? Maybe even killed?  Would mobs of Trump supporters go door to door demanding oaths of allegiance to Trump? Who knows what would happen to those who said “no”. Would a new armed force exist to pick up and jail, deport, beat up or kill anyone who even LOOKED like they might be an immigrant? 

It is not a stretch to see this happening. To see how very close we were to losing our democracy.  

In all that turmoil- would a foreign power seize the opportunity to launch an attack on US interests? Would countries that currently sell us goods decide that we were not a good risk because of our instability? Would US companies close down because of the instability and inability to get people to risk leaving their homes to got to work or even to the store  for fear of being picked up because they looked different or spoke out against the dictator? Would foreign markets boycott our goods and place economic sanctions against us? 

Would parts of the country secede from the US because they did not want to be part of this new dictatorship? Would an Army from one state attack another state?  

This was all a VERY REAL possibility. 

Now Trump is running again. He is the GOP favorite.  He has NO policies. He just wants retribution. Trump is on the record saying, “ that we will root out Marxist fascist, and the radical left thugs that live like vermin within the confines of our country”

Retribution has become Trumps campaign ideology.

He’s not running to accomplish anything. He’s talking about a personal agenda of using the United States government  and The Presidency for retribution and revenge. His agenda for a second term is  finishing the radical and extreme unfinished business of a Trump first term. He hasn’t given up on things like building his wall, withdrawing from NATO, withdrawing from South Korea  and using the justice department to go after his political enemies. Those are all things that he tried to do wanted to do in his first term. Trump 2024 is not Trump 2016 or even 2020. He has eight years worth of grievances he has  91 felony charges against him. 

Trump himself is a threat to American Democracy. He has the natural inclination and goals of an anti-democratic authoritarian leader. He wants to impose a police state.  HE HAS SAID THIS. 

Every administration wants to have loyalists. They want to surround themselves with people who believe the movement.  That is fine. BUT this one is just too far. It has become a CULT.  Where a person cannot believe science or fact. They can only believe what their dear leader has told them to. This idea was hatched at the end of the last Trump administration. It is called Schedule F. Schedule F is getting rid of people who are independent experts, The absolute enemy is Tony Fauci. They don’t want a scientist who is worrying about the entire countries national health what they want is someone who is loyal to Trump if Trump says, “ivermectin is the thing” that person will tell the country take your ivermectin. Related to that is the idea that they will also staff the national security and military space with people who share a similar skepticism about independent authority. They would review flag officers  and general officers to try to assess whether they have loyalty to Donald Trump’s ideological project. 

From the very beginning, Trump has a strong man’s natural attraction to what it in Russia would be called the “power ministries” and understanding he who controls the guys with guns control the power structure. In 2020 there was a backstage confrontation between Trump, and both the senior civilian and military leadership of the Pentagon as well as the Attorney General.  It was about the very question of Trump, potentially seeking to use the power ministries for his own political advantage first through shows of strength in photo ops  and then in an even more menacing way. Using the military as part of his unprecedented effort to overturn the 2020 election results. Given that he’s already contemplated doing that; given that he’s already clashed with people; you need to assume that this is a very real part of his second term agenda. It flows directly from his experience in the first term of wanting to do this and being stymied.  

What would happen in 2028? Would he allow another election? Would he come up with a reason why the election in 2028 needed to be delayed indefinitely? His supporters stormed the US Capital once. Given a chance would they do what is necessary to disrupt the election or primary process? 

Not only should Donald Trump’s actions disqualify him from being president, the entire idea of another Trump presidency should scare the hell out of you. You can dislike Biden, you can dislike the democrats, but if you like our republic you cannot vote for Trump. Not in the primary, not in the general.

Trump business got at least $7.8 million in foreign payments during presidency.

Here’s how we know the Republican Party has become an autocratic movement

It’s often said that Donald Trump has a cultlike following. But that’s far too benign.

“Star Wars” has a cultlike following. Taylor Swift has her cult of “Swifties.” A political organization that has no platform other than loyalty to the leader is not a cult, it’s an autocratic movement.

The tragicomic chaos in the House in the last week is the natural result of a political party that has lived under Trump’s thumb. It should end any pretense that the current Republican Party is a serious governing party.

As Hannah Arendt wrote in “The Origins of Totalitarianism”: “Total loyalty is possible only when fidelity is emptied of all concrete content, from which changes of mind might naturally arise. The totalitarian movements, each in its own way, have done their utmost to get rid of the party programs which specified concrete content and which they inherited from earlier, non‑totalitarian stages of development.”

It seems like another time in another galaxy, but not that long ago there actually was some ideological diversity within the Republican Party.

In 1966, Time ran a cover story highlighting the winners of the 1966 midterm elections as a “Republican Resurgence,” after the Goldwater defeat of 1964. Time’s editors selected six Republicans as being emblematic of this rebirth: California Gov. Ronald Reagan, Michigan Gov. George Romney, Illinois Sen. Charles Percy, Oregon Sen. Mark Hatfield, Massachusetts Sen. Edward Brooke and New York Gov. Nelson Rockefeller.

The six governors and senators had differences of opinion on almost all major issues. Hatfield, deeply influenced by his service in World War II, never voted for a bill to authorize U.S. military engagement. He was one of only two Republican senators who voted against the 1991 Gulf War.

With Sen. George McGovern, Hatfield co-sponsored 1971 legislation calling for a complete withdrawal from Vietnam. Reagan, on the other hand, was consistently supportive of the Vietnam War and campaigned against the creation of Medicaid.

In the 1990s and early 2000s, the Republican governors who were pro-choice governed states with a larger collective population than the Republican antiabortion governors. Bill Weld of Massachusetts, Pennsylvania’s Tom Ridge, Arnold Schwarzenegger in California and New York’s George Pataki all were proudly pro-choice.

Today, there are no Republican governors who support abortion rights, and many are actively working to criminalize abortions in their states. The Republican Party three decades ago was overwhelmingly a white-dominated party, but it allowed for at least some dissent and disagreement.

While it is difficult to attribute any deliberate or methodical plan to Donald Trump, whose mind operates like an old-fashioned pinball machine on tilt, his basic antidemocratic, strongman instincts have crushed dissent in the Republican Party, empowering the underlying authoritarian impulses within the party. A once-center-right political party with core ideological principles is now marching toward the formation of an autocratic state.

It’s possible that Trump will not be the Republican nominee in 2024, but his success in molding the party to his image ensures that anyone who wins will continue down an authoritarian path.

When Ron DeSantis ran for governor of Florida in 2018, he aired a commercialshowing his toddler daughter building a border wall with toy blocks, followed by a shot of him holding his infant son and reading from a book, “Then Mr. Trump said, ‘You’re fired.’” His wife also appeared in the ad, saying, “People say Ron is all Trump, but he is so much more.”

What’s unfolding in the Republican Party is an inevitable step in the cycle of authoritarian movements. What once was deemed sufficiently pure is judged to be inadequate and in need of purging.

The Night of the Long Knives, the murder of Leon Trotsky, the Red Guards, the Khmer Rouge — each was the result of a radical movement further purifying its core membership and ideology, and something very similar is taking place among today’s Republicans

When Trump emerged in 2015, he was initially rejected by Republican voters. In May 2015, Donald Trump polled at 3% among Republicans and Republican-leaning independent voters. While it’s not unusual for a new and still-unknown candidate to start with a low number, Trump had almost a 100% name recognition among potential voters.

Republicans knew who he was; they just didn’t like him. A May 2015 Washington Post–ABC News poll found that just over 20% of Republicans viewed Trump favorably. By early December 2015 — and after his attack on John McCain’s war record, his mocking of a disabled reporter and his calling for a Muslim ban — Trump had surged to his largest lead during the Republican primary, opening up a 35%-to-16% margin over Ted Cruz.

Jeb Bush, who led the field in early polling, was by then at the same 3% level of support that Trump had in May. The media coverage of Trump’s rise evidenced an unwillingness to grasp Trump’s appeal. “Donald Trump Leads Florida Polls, Despite Call for Muslim Travel Ban” was the headline in the New Times Broward–Palm Beach. “Trump Poll Surge Continues Despite Backlash Over Muslim Ban,” trumpeted the Dec. 10, 2015, broadcast of Voice of America News.

This was like reporting that Jim Beam sold a lot of bourbon even though it contained alcohol. Trump was rising with Republican voters because of his racism and religious bigotry.

There was no backlash with the majority of Republican primary voters. The exact opposite was occurring. Trump’s hate was creating a surge of appeal.

Donald Trump understood the true nature of the Republican Party better than the party’s leaders. “This suggestion is completely and totally inconsistent with American values,” then-Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell said as he denounced Trump’s proposed Muslim ban. “I do not think it is reflective of our principles, not just as a party but as a country,” then-House Speaker Paul Ryan said of the ban.

But it was his call for a Muslim ban that helped Trump clinch the 2016 nomination. McConnell and Ryan and the establishment donor class of the Republican Party would never admit publicly that the xenophobia and racism that appealed to Trump voters were far more motivating to Republican voters than the small-government, low-taxes, constitutionally conservative so‑called “values” they insisted were the true core of the party.

But their commitment to their deeply held beliefs was so weak that they now supported a man who bragged he was “the king of debt,” refused to release his tax returns to show he even paid taxes and whose Muslim ban was a religious test that was anathema to constitutional principles.

They didn’t care about anything but remaining in power, and they thought they could use Trump while controlling him.

There is a childlike need for many Republicans in what was once “the establishment” to believe that the Trump years were some aberration, that the party was “hijacked” by Donald Trump. The problem with this is that the passengers on the hijacked plane do not cheer for the terrorist. But in the Republican Party, the hijacker is the most popular person on the plane.

Trump and Trumpism dominate the Republican Party because he represents what the Republican Party wants to be. There is no “normal” for the party to return to. It is an autocratic movement, not a traditional American political party. To believe this movement cannot win and end democracy as we know it would be as dangerously naive as thinking that the Donald Trump who announced his candidacy in 2015 with 3% of support within the party could never be elected president.

None of us can choose history, but history can choose us. The fate of the American experiment is in our hands. America or Trump? The next 13 months will decide our future.

Stuart Stevens is an advisor to the Lincoln Project, a political consultant and the author of several books. This article is an adapted excerpt from his latest book, “The Conspiracy to End America: Five Ways My Old Party Is Driving Our Democracy to Autocracy,” which was published Oct. 10.

Originally published in the LA TIMES.

REMEMBER: 62 Things Donald Trump Did (that you may want to forget to preserve your sanity)

Donald Trump has returned to the news cycle amid a deluge of stories about a dinner meeting he hosted with a white supremacist and Ye, the rapper previously known as Kanye West.

It’s a reminder of the chaotic years of his presidency, as well as a foreboding ― though hopefully instructive ― warning about how he would wield power if elected again.

If past is prologue, let’s take a moment to remember just how unsettling things got during the Trump administration, with this not-even-remotely-exhaustive list of weird and bad stuff he attempted while in office:

  • Tried to buy Greenland.
  • Wanted to nuke hurricanes.
  • Doctored a hurricane forecast map with a Sharpie.
  • Attempted a coup to stay in power.
  • Absconded with thousands of classified documents, lied about it and refused to give them back when the feds asked nicely.
  • Sent unidentified federal officers to Portland, Oregon, to abduct protesters and spark a conflagration that could be used as a pretense for implementing martial law.
  • Ordered peaceful protesters tear-gassed so he could pose for a photo-op with a Bible outside a church.
  • Tried to blackmail Ukraine into manufacturing dirt for his 2020 campaign.
  • Asked Russia for help in his 2016 campaign — and got it.
  • Had a weird affinity for Russian President Vladimir Putin. (Remember the Helsinki summit?)
  • Invited Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov to an in-person meeting in the Oval Office, where he accidentally revealed top-secret intelligence.
  • Wanted to withdraw the U.S. from NATO.
  • Separated migrant parents from their children, locked the kids in cages and then failed to reunite them.
  • Insisted that “raking” would prevent forest fires because “you’ve got to take care of the floors. You know the floors of the forest, very important.” 
  • Covered for Saudi Arabia after Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman ordered the gruesome murder and dismemberment of a U.S. journalist with a bone saw. (Jared Kushner, Trump’s son-in-law, owes Saudi Arabia $2 billion, and the crown prince has reportedly bragged about having Kushner “in his pocket.”)
  • Intervened to get Kushner top-secret clearance after he was denied over concerns about foreign influence.
  • Put Kushner in charge of Middle East peace.
  • Embraced rampant nepotism.
  • Touted injecting disinfectant as a COVID-19 cure.
  • Touted ultraviolet light as a COVID-19 cure.
  • Touted hydroxychloroquine as a COVID-19 cure.
  • Touted ivermectin as a COVID-19 cure.
  • Told people not to wear face masks to cut down the spread of COVID-19, even though they work.
  • Actively discouraged COVID-19 testing.
  • Refused to send federal aid to New York City amid the first COVID-19 wave because the virus was hitting Democratic-voting states hardest.
  • “Jokingly” said on multiple occasions that he deserved to be president for more than two terms.
  • Thought climate change was a Chinese hoax.
  • Built an incomplete border wall that doesn’t work, wasn’t needed and wasn’t paid for by Mexico.
  • Started a trade war with China that mainly hurt U.S. consumers.
  • Threw food when angry.
  • Saw no problem with his vice president potentially being hanged by a violent mob he’d summoned and sent to the U.S. Capitol to disrupt the peaceful transition of power.
  • Stared directly at the sun.
U.S. President Donald Trump stares directly at the sun during a partial solar eclipse on Aug. 21, 2017.
U.S. President Donald Trump stares directly at the sun during a partial solar eclipse on Aug. 21, 2017.
  • Started his presidency with an easily disproved lie about the crowd size at his inauguration.
  • Thought people needed an ID to buy cereal.
  • Fired James Comey as FBI director because he didn’t like the bureau investigating Russian meddling in the 2016 election. (Later, it was revealed that Trump’s campaign manager gave detailed internal polling data to a Russian intelligence agent.)
  • Was a “fucking moron,” according to Rex Tillerson, his secretary of state.
  • Fired the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s China-based pandemic response team — and then when a pandemic happened years later, said, “I don’t take responsibility at all” for COVID-19.
  • Repeatedly embraced racism.
  • Thought repeating “person, woman, man, camera, TV” would assure Americans of his mental stability.
  • Tweeted literal gibberish — a lot.
  • Lied all the time. (And still does.)
  • Openly embraced and amplified QAnon conspiracy theories.
  • Got impeached twice.
  • Passed huge tax cuts for wealthy corporations ― and massively grew the national debt.
  • Flip-flopped on whether the White House had ordered the USS John McCain be hidden so he wouldn’t get mad. (It did.)
  • Called American military members who died in the line of duty “losers” and “suckers.”
  • Claimed to have bone spurs to get out of military service.
  • Binge-watched Fox News when he should have been working.
  • Played so, so much golf.
  • Raked in cash from foreign interests at his Washington hotel in an operation sometimes described as the “epicenter” of a corrupt presidency.
  • Held a rally that may have led to the death of Herman Cain.
  • Allegedly directed his lawyer to commit campaign fraud to cover up that Trump cheated on his wife after she had recently given birth.
  • Was accused of sexual misconduct by more than two dozen women.
  • Dismissed any bad news about himself as “fake.”
  • Lied about voluntarily turning over his tax returns.
  • Ate well-done steak — with ketchup.
  • Described white supremacists in Charlottesville, Virginia, as “very fine people.”
  • Grossly abused the presidential pardon on his way out the door.
  • Used private communication services extensively after arguing that Hillary Clinton should be jailed for having a private email server.
  • Refused to release White House visitor logs.
  • Went to Puerto Rico and threw paper towels at people desperate for actual hurricane aid.
  • Discouraged exercise because he believes bodies are like batteries, with a finite amount of energy.

Why Aren’t You Angry?!

Why aren’t you angry?

The Jan. 6 Committee has laid bare Trump’s con game. The only question is why aren’t you mad about it.

ByJOSH MOON Alabama Political Reporter

It was all a scam. 

At some level, I think even those who were the most MAGA of all the MAGAs knew that something didn’t really add up. For the rest of us, Donald Trump’s campaign for president, his presidency and the last two years since his presidency ended have been something akin to living inside an email scam. 

Watching as gullible people – some of whom we know and love – fall for the late-night televangelist, and just keep stuffing this month’s rent money into envelopes addressed to Mar-a-Lago. 

Monday morning, the House of Representatives’ January 6th Committee laid bare the economics of the scam. 

Somewhere along the way, as Trump and his inner circle of grifters, con men and thieves spun their lies about election fraud and a stolen presidency, a light bulb flickered on – however briefly – in the brain of one of the Saul Goodmans surrounding Trump, and they realized, as they watched the rallies and outrage, that so much emotion could easily be transformed into American dollars. 

Within a week of Trump’s lost election – with red-state Republicans more than willing to sign on and help push the lie for their own benefit – Trump had managed to haul in more than $100,000,000, with almost all of it rolling in from small-money, paycheck-to-paycheck donors. 

All of those donations, the Trump campaign said, were bound for something called the “Official Election Defense Fund” – and the funds would be used by the Trump legal team to combat the clear election fraud and take back the White House from ol’ Sleepy Joe Biden. 

And Trump and his team made sure his followers got the message. They sent millions of emails to those registered. At one point, they were sending out 25 email fundraiser letters PER DAY. All of them begging for cash to help Trump’s legal team fight election fraud and take back the White House. 

As it stands today, more than $250 MILLION rolled into that Official Election Defense Fund. 

Small problem: There was never any such entity. 

Instead, the $20s and $50s from America’s extremely loud and over-placated minority went where money in the vicinity of a Trump usually goes: into a Trump family member’s pocket. Or the pocket of a close friend. 

The nonexistent fund transferred the money to a political action committee controlled by Trump. From there, the grift truly began. 

Former chief of staff Mark Meadows saw his charitable organization rake in a cool $1 million. At least $5 million went to the company that staged Trump’s Jan. 6 rally, including at least $60,000 for Kimberly Guilfoyle, the girlfriend of Donald Trump Jr., for a two minute speech introducing Trump Jr. And, of course, another $204,000 went to Trump’s hotels. 

And yet, for some reason, no one seems to be all that angry. 

I mean, if I told you that the Black Lives Matter organization set up a phony entity with the sole purpose of tricking donors into sending money, never used the money for its stated purpose and then spread the money around to a bunch of their closest friends, you’d be rightfully outraged. Because that’s a scam. 

And it’s also exactly what Trump and his inner circle did. They jacked up the emotions of people and then took advantage of them when they were in that emotional state. 

Basically, they lied and told them that the naked would-be emperor had on beautiful clothing that only they could see. And then they sold the nonexistent clothes to the people. 

What happened in the days leading up to the 2020 election and in the days after it will go down as one of the most shameful periods in American political history. A time when the nation’s shadiest president tried to stop for the first time in the country’s history the peaceful transition of power that has helped to make this place what it is. 

A time when an American president manufactured allegations of election fraud – without a shred of credible evidence, and with plenty of evidence to the contrary – all while he and his team were running all over the country attempting to force state officials to violate their oaths and “find” him just enough votes to win. 

A time when an American president scammed the American public out of hundreds of millions of dollars to combat a problem that even Trump’s own attorney general, Bill Barr, called BS. 

But none of that really surprises me. A con man is going to run cons. He’s going to lie, steal and cheat. He’s going to bilk good people out of money, despite (allegedly) having plenty himself. And he’s going to do anything he can to remain in power. 

Trump did it all. Up to and including conning his most loyal supporters out of their hard earned money for an entity that didn’t exist and for a cause that was pure fantasy from the start. 

But what I can’t wrap my head around is: Why aren’t y’all mad about it?

Putin & Trump Have Convinced Me: I was Wrong About the 21st Century

I am currently living in Switzerland and the war in Ukraine has left me uneasy. So much of what I believed in seems to be incorrect. I read this article in The Guardian and it puts into words how I am feeling.

Nationalism is disappearing, democracy is inevitable, nuclear war can’t happen: Ukraine shows old certainties were wrong

Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump shake hands in Helsinki in 2018.

I used to believe several things about the 21st century that Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine and Donald Trump’s election in 2016 have shown me are false. I assumed:

Nationalism is disappearing.

I expected globalization would blur borders, create economic interdependence among nations and regions and extend a modern consumer and artistic culture worldwide.

I was wrong. Both Putin and Trump have exploited xenophobic nationalism to build their power. (Putin’s aggression has also ignited an inspiring patriotism in Ukraine.)

Nations can no longer control what their citizens know.

I assumed that emerging digital technologies, including the internet, would make it impossible to control worldwide flows of information and knowledge. Tyrants could no longer keep their people in the dark or hoodwink them with propaganda.

Wrong again. Trump filled the media with lies, as has Putin. Putin has also cut off Russian citizens from the truth about what’s occurring in Ukraine.

Advanced nations will no longer war over geographic territory.

I thought that in the “new economy”, land was becoming less valuable than technological knowhow and innovation. Competition among nations would therefore be over the development of cutting-edge inventions.

I was only partly right. While skills and innovation are critical, land still provides access to critical raw materials and buffers against potential foreign aggressors.

Major nuclear powers will never risk war against each other because of the certainty of “mutually assured destruction”.

I bought the conventional wisdom that nuclear war was unthinkable.

I fear I was wrong. Putin is now resorting to dangerous nuclear brinksmanship.

Civilization will never again be held hostage by crazy isolated men with the power to wreak havoc.

I assumed this was a phenomenon of the 20th century and that 21st-century governments, even totalitarian ones, would constrain tyrants.

Trump and Putin have convinced me I was mistaken.

Advances in warfare, such as cyber-warfare and precision weapons, will minimize civilian casualties.

I was persuaded by specialists in defense strategy that it no longer made sense for sophisticated powers to target civilians.

Utterly wrong. Civilian casualties in Ukraine are mounting.

Democracy is inevitable.

I formed this belief in the early 1990s, when the Soviet Union had imploded and China was still poor. It seemed to me that totalitarian regimes didn’t stand a chance in the new technologically driven, globalized world. Sure, petty dictatorships would remain in some retrograde regions of the world. But modernity came with democracy, and democracy with modernity.

Both Trump and Putin have shown how wrong I was on this, too.

Meanwhile, Ukrainians are showing that Trump’s and Putin’s efforts to turn back the clock on the 21st century can only be addressed with a democracy powerful enough to counteract autocrats like them.

They are also displaying with inspiring clarity that democracy cannot be taken for granted. Democracy is not a spectator sport. It’s not what governments do. Democracy is what people do.

Ukrainians are reminding us that democracy survives only if people are willing to sacrifice for it. Some sacrifices are smaller than others. You may have to stand in line for hours to vote, as did tens of thousands of Black people in America’s 2020 election. You may have to march and protest and even risk your life so others may vote, as did iconic civil rights leaders like the late John Lewis and Martin Luther King.

You may have to knock on hundreds of doors to get out the vote. Or organize thousands to make your voices heard. And stand up against the powerful who don’t want your voices heard.

You may have to fight a war to protect democracy from those who would destroy it.

The people of Ukraine are also reminding us that democracy is the single most important legacy we have inherited from previous generations who strengthened it and who risked their lives to preserve it. It will be the most significant legacy we leave to future generations – unless we allow it to be suppressed by those who fear it, or we become too complacent to care.

Putin and Trump have convinced me I was wrong about how far we had come in the 21st century. Technology, globalization and modern systems of governance haven’t altered the ways of tyranny. But I, like millions of others around the world, have been inspired by the Ukrainian people – who are reteaching us lessons we once knew.